Villanova vs Houston Prediction, Odds: 2022 NCAA Tournament Picks, Elite Eight Best Bets From Proven Model

The Villanova Wildcats will draw on their experience Saturday night when they face the Houston Cougars in the Elite Eight of the 2022 NCAA Tournament in San Antonio, Texas. The Wildcats (29-7) are in the Elite Eight for the 15th time and won the national title at the Alamodome in San Antonio in 2018. They advanced from the Sweet 16 with a strong defensive performance Thursday night in a 63-55 victory over Michigan, coincidentally the team they beat for that 2018 title. Now, they’ll face a menacing Houston team that smothered Arizona in a 72-60 win in the final game Thursday night at the AT&T Center. Cougars number 5 (32-5) reached the Final Four last year, losing to eventual champion Baylor.

Deactivation is scheduled for 18:09 ET. The Cougars are favorites by 2.5 points in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Houston vs Villanova odds, and the over-under for total points scored is 128. Before making any Villanova vs Houston choice, be sure to check the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,300 for $100 players on their top college basketball picks against the spread. Those who followed him had great returns.

Now the model has its sights set on Villanova v Houston and has revealed its coveted picks and predictions for the 2022 NCAA Tournament. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model’s college basketball picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Houston vs Villanova:

  • Houston vs Villanova spread: Cougars -2.5
  • Houston vs Villanova over-under: 128 points
  • Houston vs Villanova moneyline: Cougars -145, Wildcats +125
  • HOU: It’s 12-4 ATS in non-conference games this season.
  • NOVA: It’s 8-5 ATS in your games against non-Big East enemies.

Why Houston can cover

Houston is 25-12 ATS and has covered 10 of their last 11. It has one of the meanest defenses in the country, and that showed Thursday. The Cougars kept Arizona with 33.3% shooting and blocked six shots. Houston is allowing just 59 points per game (third in Division I), and its scoring margin of 17.6 points is the second best in the country. The Cougars are second in the KenPom rankings, coming in eighth in offensive efficiency and 10th in defense. They are first in the country in opponent’s shooting percentage (37.4) and allowed shots (19.7 per game).

Houston, which is 9-1 ATS at neutral venues, also has no problem scoring points, ranking 44th in the nation with 75.7 per competition. He hit 45 percent from the 3-point range on Thursday, with Kyler Edwards hitting five of his nine attempts. He scored 19, while Jamal Shead had 21, the game’s record, and added six assists and two steals. Edwards is the leading scorer with 14.3 per game, one of five healthy players to score in double figures. Fabian White Jr. is a strength at both ends, averaging 12.8 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.4 blocks. Josh Carlton, who is 1.98m, scored 10 points and had seven rebounds on Thursday.

Why Villanova can cover

Villanova is 19-16-1 ATS this season but has covered four of his last five. This is his fifth time in the Elite Eight under head coach Jay Wright (since 2001). He made the Final Four three of the previous four times and won the national title twice. He put on a strong defensive performance Thursday night, winning despite weak kicks as he kept Michigan with 34.4% of the field. Jermaine Samuels was a big part of that, blocking two shots and getting two steals and challenging Wolverines’ shots. He has 22 points and seven rebounds and is averaging 11 points and six rebounds this season.

The Wildcats have gone 7-5-1 ATS this season against ranked opponents, and finished sixth in the Associated Press poll, while the Cougars placed 15th. They keep opponents at 40.8% shooting overall (36th in Division I) and 30.7% at 3-point range (38th). Opponents are averaging 62.7 points per game (21st in the nation), and Villanova outperforms enemies by nearly 10 points (19th). Collin Gillespie is the leading scorer with 15.3 per game and hits 41.5 percent of his 3-point attempts, making over 100 this season. He hit four on Thursday night to finish with 12 points and six rebounds.

How to make Houston vs Villanova picks

The SportsLine model is skewed over the total, projecting the teams to match by 138 points. The model also says that one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model choice on SportsLine.

So who wins Villanova vs. Houston? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that crushed your college basketball picks, and find out.

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