Duke prediction vs. Arkansas, Odds: 2022 NCAA Tournament Picks, Top Model March Madness Elite Eight Bets

Eric Musselman and the Arkansas Razorbacks are looking for another comeback Saturday night. Arkansas defeated Gonzaga on Thursday at No. 1 overall, advancing to the Elite Eight of the 2022 NCAA Tournament. The Razorbacks are 28-8 overall and 18-3 in their last 21 games, with Arkansas poised to face the Duke Blue Devils with a spot in the Final Four at stake. Duke is 31-6 overall and 12-2 in their last 14 games after a win over third-placed Texas Tech on Thursday. It’s the last run of the NCAA tournament for legendary head coach Mike Krzyzewski, and the Blue Devils are looking to extend it for two more games.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Blue Devils as four-point favorites for this match at 8:49 pm ET in San Francisco. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 147.5 at Arkansas vs. Latest odds. Duke. Before making any Arkansas vs Duke picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,300 for $100 players on their top college basketball picks against the spread. Those who followed him had great returns.

Now, the model has its eyes on Duke vs. Arkansas and revealed its coveted picks and predictions for the 2022 NCAA Tournament. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model’s college basketball picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Arkansas vs Duke:

  • Duke vs. Arkansas spread: Duke -4
  • Duke v Arkansas over-under: 147.5 points
  • Duke vs. Moneyline Arkansas: Duke -190, Arkansas +160
  • ARK: Razorbacks are 4-5 against the spread in site-neutral games
  • DUKE: The Blue Devils are 4-4 against the spread in games at neutral venues

Why Arkansas Can Cover

The Razorbacks showed elite defensive potential on Thursday with a surprise on Gonzaga. Arkansas kept Gonzaga with 37.5 percent shooting and 5-21 from 3 points, and the Razorbacks forced 15 turnovers en route to a comeback. Arkansas are also elite in defense by numbers, ranking 11th in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Razorbacks are holding opponents up with 46.4% 2-point shooting and 32.4% 3-point shooting.

Arkansas is also forcing a 20.5% turnover of possessions, including a 10.5% theft rate. Razorbacks protect the rim well, blocking 11.7% of shot attempts, and Arkansas excel at defensive glass with a defensive rebound rate of 74.8%. Arkansas should also benefit from Duke’s below-average free-throw creation, and the Razorbacks are in the top 30 nationally for free-throw creation rate on offense.

Why Duke can cover

Duke is the most talented team on paper, led by several potential first-round picks in the 2022 NBA Draft. Rookie forward Paolo Banchero leads with 17.2 points and 7.8 rebounds per game, and Banchero is at his peak right now. right. The #1 possible overall pick is averaging 19.2 points per game and 62.3% field shooting over the last five games. Duke is also marked on defense by an elite center in Mark Williams, who is averaging 15.3 points, 7.7 rebounds and 4.3 blocks per game in the 2022 NCAA Tournament.

Williams is also shooting 76% from the field during the tournament, and he’s one of the main reasons Duke is shooting 56.2% on 2-point attempts. The Blue Devils are No. 2 in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency, including an overall top-eight mark in shooting efficiency. Duke is also one of the top 30 teams in 3-point accuracy and turnover rate, with the Blue Devils coming close to the top in the country in offensive rebound rate, assist rate, and free throw accuracy.

How to make Arkansas vs Duke picks

SportsLine’s model is skewed over the total, projecting the teams to match by 149 points. The model also says that one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can only see the model choice on SportsLine.

So who wins Duke vs. Arkansas? And which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that crushed your college basketball picks, and find out.

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